Thoughts · Agentic TOM

The questions banks are not yet asking.

Essays on agentic AI, operating model transformation, and the structural shifts arriving faster than most institutions assume.

All essays, newest first

9 min readEscalation and autonomy

99 Percent Is a Failing Grade

Ten steps at 90 percent complete 35 percent of the time. Chained reliability is arithmetic, and the strongest lever is a deterministic step that never degrades it.

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4 min readThe model

The Six Percent Club

McKinsey puts the share of companies with a significant EBIT effect from AI at six percent. Three habits separate them: breadth, iteration, the discipline to stop.

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5 min readIn practice

Your Software Will Be Tested at Machine Speed

Time from disclosure to exploitation fell from 2.3 years to three hours. Testing is the next function that must become agentic. In a bank, it is a control.

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4 min readIn practice

Eighty-Four Reports a Day

MROS receives 84 suspicious activity reports a working day, four times the 2020 volume. Compliance is the first function where the case for agents is arithmetic.

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3 min readThe demand side

The Complaint Machine

Clients rarely complain because the effort exceeds the payoff. AI agents remove the friction: every suitability gap surfaced as a structured complaint.

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3 min readThe demand side

When Every Client Negotiates Like an Institution

AI agents give every client the information position of an institution. When fees can be benchmarked in real time, margins compress from the demand side.

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3 min readThe demand side

The Family Office for Everyone

The family office model was always gated by wealth. AI agents remove the gate. What happens to wealth management when every client gets institutional attention?

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4 min readIn practice

The Easy Part Is the AI

Calling a model is a commodity. Closing the loop into the core banking system, with audit and control intact, is where the real work sits.

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2 min readThe demand side

The Window Narrowed This Morning

Every bank COO has a planning horizon of 18 to 36 months. The day Anthropic released Claude Managed Agents, that horizon got shorter.

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6 min readThe model

Who Manages the Agents?

Who is responsible for a workforce that is not human? Neither IT nor HR can own it alone. It is a design decision most banks have not yet made.

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4 min readEscalation and autonomy

From ABS to Autopilot: The Five Levels of Banking Autonomy

Banking autonomy arrives in levels, each earned with evidence. Most institutions sit between Level 1 and 2, mistaking early automation for readiness.

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7 min readIn practice

Case Sketch: Mortgage Lending in an Agentic TOM

Mortgage origination redesigned across bots, agents and humans, grounded in what FINMA actually requires. Same rules, different cost structure, different speed.

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5 min readThe demand side

The Tsunami Is Not Coming from Inside the Bank

When every mortgage seeker sends an AI agent, inbound volume multiplies tenfold and revenue does not. The shift that hits first comes from outside the bank.

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1 min readThe model

The Job Description No One Has Written

Every bank deploying AI agents has skipped the most basic step in workforce management: defining what the agent is actually hired to do.

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2 min readEscalation and autonomy

Escalation by Design: Why Human Oversight Is an Architecture Decision

The failure mode of most automation projects is not that machines make wrong decisions. It is that nobody designed when and how the decision returns to a human.

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3 min readThe model

The Swiss Agentic Advantage

FINMA's principles-based framework, data sovereignty and relationship banking give Swiss institutions a structural position to lead agentic deployment.

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6 min readThe model

What Is an Agentic Target Operating Model?

Most AI discussions in banking pick tools. The consequential question is how the organisation itself must change to absorb what the tools make possible.

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